Where does Noble go from here? Consider these scenarios

SINGAPORE (May 18): A quarter of unexpected losses, the implications of sustained cash burn, and inadequate guidance have now snowballed into a crisis of market confidence for Noble Group.

While the group’s 1Q17 results were “not terribly weak by itself” to account for the steep 40-45pts fall in bond prices, the complete black-box nature of operations and inadequate disclosures of contracts make it tough to take a directional view on the company’s bonds – according to Varun Ahuja, Asia credit research, JP Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific), in a Thursday report.

(See also: Noble Group's shares plunge to 14-year low after flagging losses)

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