Welcome!
recession
US Economy
Goldman Sachs economists lift US recession risk forecast to 25%
Goldman Sachs expects the central bank will reduce its benchmark by 25 basis points in September, November and December.
August 05, 2024
Global Economy
US Fed not in a hurry to cut rates as consumer confidence remains healthy
Despite costs going up, economies are generally resilient
May 30, 2024
Global Economy
IMF lifts growth forecast for global economy but warns of risks
'Numerous challenges remain, and decisive actions are needed'
April 16, 2024
US Economy
What soft landing?
Growth expectations for 2024 were improving over last year in response to the Fed’s pivot away from hiking interest rates.
March 26, 2024
US Economy
US core inflation tops forecasts for a second straight month
The market reaction was choppy.
March 12, 2024
China Focus
China's imagination deficit
Without a more imaginative approach to economic stewardship, China could remain stuck
February 05, 2024
Global Economy
The next inflationary surge
Given the complex circumstances, traditional inflation targeting may fall short
February 05, 2024
Global Economy
Is the outlook for the global economy still bullish?
Relative stability is discernible across many markets
February 01, 2024
US Economy
Fed to hold interest rates steady but start considering cuts
The Fed is poised to keep rates in a range of 5.25% to 5.5%
January 31, 2024
Global Economy
The last mile of inflation has a bad reputation
'Don't push us, the spike of 2021 and 2022 remains too raw'
January 25, 2024