SINGAPORE (Oct 5): Following the Sept 26 debate, Hillary Clinton inched ahead of Donald Trump by 1.5 percentage points in the national polls, widening her lead to 3.8 percentage points.

Citi Research continues to maintain its forecast of a 60% probability of Clinton winning the election, and said in a note on Tuesday that Clinton is currently leading in 18 of the 20 swing states post debate, losing only in Ohio.

While polls are predicting higher probabilities of a Clinton win, what is most striking is the improvement in her personal favorability numbers, says Citi analyst Tina Fordham, although the longevity of those numbers remain unclear.

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