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Citi explains why it remains cautious on banks’ asset qualities and HK CRE

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 2 min read
Citi explains why it remains cautious on banks’ asset qualities and HK CRE
Citi analyst Tan Yong Hong notes that Citi’s Hong Kong property analysts remain “muted” on the country’s property sector, especially its residential and office sub-sectors. Photo: Bloomberg
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Citi Research analyst Tan Yong Hong says he remains cautious about the banks’ asset qualities and on Hong Kong commercial real estate (CRE) in a Sept 2 report.

Tan’s report comes after Mingtiandi reported, on Aug 29, that DBS Bank has agreed to buy two floors in The Center, Hong Kong’s fifth-tallest building. The bank will buy levels 66 and 75 from Hong Kong tycoon David Chan Ping-chi for a reported HK$1.3 billion ($217.8 million).

Level 66 has a floor area of 26,967 sq ft while level 75 measures 23,901 sq ft. The total consideration works out to about HK$26,000 per sq ft, which is 54% lower than the HK$55,854 per sq ft paid for level 79 when it was sold in 2017.

Chan used levels 66 and 75 as collateral for loans from United Overseas Bank U11

(UOB) and Taiwan’s Shin Kong Commercial Bank, said Mingtiandi referring to local media reports.

To this end, Tan notes that Citi’s Hong Kong analysts remain “muted” on the country’s property sector, especially its residential and office sub-sectors.

Grade A office rents in Hong Kong’s Central fell by 40.5% in June this year from their 2019 peak while office vacancy stood at 13.7% in July.

See also: UOBKH calls Centurion Corp a stock for ‘growth-minded investors’

“Rentable values [are] a valuation overhang but if en-bloc asset transactions pick up in 2025, it could also act as [a] reference point,” Tan writes.

“Given uncertainties on property valuation extending beyond [the] office [sector] into residential, investors’ concerns over Hong Kong CRE could cap upside for the sector despite prudent loan-to-valuations (LTVs), we think,” he adds.

See also: With 300MW wind-solar project win in India, Sembcorp at 64% of 2028 renewable energy goal: CGSI

As at 12.51pm, shares in DBS are trading 33 cents higher or 0.91% up at $36.69 while shares in UOB are trading 16 cents higher or 0.51% up at $31.55.

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